Evaluating the Enhanced Forward Presence After Five Years
with Michael A. Hunzeker
The RUSI Journal
From the journal: "Counterterrorism and counterinsurgency have altered the make-up and doctrinal practices of many Allied militaries. As a result, and also because the US has reduced its European military presence since the Cold War, defence planners have had to develop innovative solutions for deterring potential adversaries who have spent the ‘Global War on Terrorism’ recapitalising their own militaries for conventional operations. One such adaptation was the Enhanced Forward Presence (eFP) – a set of four multinational, battalion-sized Battlegroups created by NATO to bolster deterrence and defence against Russia. Alexander Lanoszka and Michael A Hunzeker evaluate this military adaptation against the vulnerabilities and challenges highlighted by observers around the time of its inception. Although measuring deterrence success remains elusive, the eFP has not experienced many of the anticipated difficulties thanks to the efforts made by participating countries."
My name is Alexander Lanoszka. I am an Assistant Professor in the Department of Political Science and in the Balsillie School of International Affairs at the University of Waterloo. I am also an Associate Fellow at the UK-based Council on Geostrategy. I am also a member of the Réseau d'Analyse Stratégique. For the 2022-23 Academic Year, I am a Visiting Professor at the College of Europe, Natolin, where I will take up a short residency in April 2023.
I was previously a Lecturer in the Department of International Politics at City, University of London and held postdoctoral fellowships at Dartmouth College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. I received my Ph.D. in Politics from Princeton University in 2014.
My research addresses issues in alliance politics, nuclear strategy, and theories of war, and has appeared in International Security, Security Studies, International Affairs, and elsewhere. My books include Atomic Assurance: The Alliance Politics of Nuclear Proliferation (Cornell, 2018) and Military Alliances in the Twenty-First Century (Polity, 2022). I have done work on East Asia but Europe is my primary regional focus, with special emphasis on Central and Northeastern Europe. I have two places that I consider home: Windsor-Detroit and Krakow, Poland.
On this website, you will find information about my books, monographs, and published articles as well as information on my academic research, teaching, and commentary.
24 MARCH 2023
Michael Hunzeker and I have a new article published in The RUSI Journal. This article evaluates the performance of the enhanced Forward Presence against the early expectations analysts had of its ability to go up against so-called hybrid and conventional military threats. Read here.
3 JANUARY 2023
Jordan Becker and I have a new article that Post-Soviet Affairs published. It analyses the military aid that NATO members gave Ukraine since 2014. You may find the article by following this link. We discuss our study's implications in a piece for The Alphen Group.
22 FEBRUARY 2023
With Paweł Markiewicz (Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych) and Balkan Devlen (MacDonald-Laurier Institute), I co-wrote a report on Polish-Canadian relations--their past, present, and future. Have a read here.
What I am reading now
Sir Lawrence Freedman's Command is a timely book given the contrast of command styles we observe in the Russian and Ukrainian militaries. It is a book that I have been reading slowly in order to appreciate its insights, delivered in each case-specific chapter.